Monday, 28 December 2020
If you are a Chinese NEVER tell your mom about your private life.
If you are a Chinese NEVER tell your mom about your private life. Since our grandparents and great grandparents had about 10 kids each we have 10 million living relatives and non-relatives who are also called aunties. This means there is 90% chance your mom will tell auntie A who will tell auntie B who will tell auntie C ... to auntie N where N is a very large number :). I guess there is only 2 degrees of separation in the overseas Chinese community so this makes it doubly worse.
Saturday, 26 December 2020
Why Bitcoin will outperform Tesla and Gold
Governments can't control Bitcoin, so I expect it to go to 11 trillion market cap or more, or at least 610k USD per Bitcoin.
Apple is worth over 2.2 trillion, Tesla is at 0.63 trillion, Bitcoin is now at 0.5 trillion. All the worlds gold is about 11.5 trillion USD.
Historically companies get broken up once they get too powerful at about 8 trillion USD inflation adjusted (oil companies and Dutch East India company).
So I expect tech companies to go up to 8 trillion before being split into 2.
Sunday, 20 December 2020
Total value of gold now 11.4 trillion, total value of Bitcoin 445 billion
I expect Bitcoin will reach a value of 11 trillion in next few years, so this would be a price of 614k USD per Bitcoin
Friday, 11 December 2020
RIP Barbara Windsor. Dementia and Alzheimer's kills about 190 per day in the UK.
RIP Barbara Windsor. Dementia and Alzheimer's kills about 190 per day in the UK.
Tuesday, 8 December 2020
Tech predictions updates
Not much to add except that both AR and VR will rise concurrently with Apple releasing something decent by 2025 and decentralised finance projects start to replace traditional banking and Wall Street adopts Bitcoin AND Ethereum at a significant level. Obviously remote working and video streaming tech will rise even more and perhaps be the normal way of working.
Friday, 4 December 2020
Sleep 30% more than normal if possible
Instead of getting stressed about how shite this year is/has been just sleep 30% more than normal if possible.
1. You live longer
2. You stay looking young longer
3. Your immune system is strengthened and so makes you less likely to suffer from you know what
4. The shite year passes a lot faster
5. You spend less possible time spreading the virus or wasting time on Facebook
Tuesday, 24 November 2020
UK and Czech rep might have biggest Lithium reserves in Europe -BBC click
https://www.statista.com/statistics/268790/countries-with-the-largest-lithium-reserves-worldwide/
So Chile, Australia, Argentina, China, USA,Zimbabwe,UK, Czech Rep, Brazil and Portugal will have the largest known reserves of lithium, which is effectively the new replacement for oil.
Saturday, 31 October 2020
Familism (or familismo) is broadly defined as “prioritizing one’s family over oneself” and is probably more prevalent in Hispanic and immigrant cultures, thus also partly explaining the higher death rates in those groups
I have a very different theory as to why there are more deaths at home. The old and sick might have taken the noble decision not to seek hospital treatment so as not to further burden the NHS and to leave their estates and wills to their heirs sooner rather than later, thus sacrificing themselves for the sake of their children. Familism (or familismo) is broadly defined as “prioritizing one’s family over oneself” and is probably more prevalent in Hispanic and immigrant cultures, thus also partly explaining the higher death rates in those groups.
Saturday, 10 October 2020
Predictions for 2021
Predictions for 2021
Cases to rise significantly till mid-2021 due to both better testing and people not taking virus seriously
Covid vaccine trials successful and rollout will mean pandemic is over by 2022
Trump is diagnosed with early onset Alzheimer's
Death rates for all countries by covid falls significantly as the vulnerable are sadly already dead, we have better anti-virals, better isolation protocols (apparently at the start of the outbreak there was significant transmission within hospitals and care homes as we did not know extent of pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic transmission and airborne transmission rates).
Countries that don't have widespread mask wearing have significantly higher death rates from covid.
Advances in technology such as AI, AR, VR, GPU, DPU and CPU development mean economies to do not suffer as much as previously predicted
Monday, 5 October 2020
Difficulty putting two Ikea Besta units together to create a deeper 80cm TV cabinet
Main problem is that the 2nd unit is very wobbly without its cardboard back frame.
So had to screw 20 plates to hold the two frames together.
"It's not the first time we have put something into a hole and started screwing blindly"
Thursday, 1 October 2020
To my fellow big eaters and people with high metabolisms:
To my fellow big eaters and people with high metabolisms:
When you go into a restauarant and order a meal for two for just yourself do you get strange looks from the staff or nearby customers?
One time in Hong Kong an elderly gent near me said "Nei gom ging" or "You are amazing".
I had to hold back and not say "That's what she said" :)
(Though in Cantonese I think I would have had to say "That's what my girlfriend said" as Canto and Chinese does not have gender specific third person)
Monday, 28 September 2020
Social Dilemna
It is really scary what AI can do. But it is just a technology that can be used for good and bad. With AI we now have so many improvements in quality of life that most people are not aware of as costs of doing business are reduced across many sectors. It's use will rise exponentially so the ability for doing bad or good will similarly rise. We are in a critical stage where we need to see and decide which companies to support in this field. While there is a ton of bad that Facebook do, there is also a ton of good which just outweighs that. Facebook is making advances in VR and AR as well as use of AI to help us communicate in situations that would not normally be possible. Facebook tech can now help people born with only 3 fingers see and use a full 5 fingers with AR. IF you want to be a demon typist Facebook tech can add a 6th finger in AR and allow your brain to adjust and control it!
Sunday, 27 September 2020
8k displays are now close to life-like reality
I now have a computer that is pretty much capable of displaying and producing 8k content. That is 33million pixels or four times what is commonly in your top end smartphone or high end monitors and Tvs. 4k resolution is only 8.3 million pixels. This approaches photo-realism in that your brain can find it hard not to see that it is not real.
Since our brains only see reality in high resolution in a small section of our view in our fovea, the rest of what we see is MADE UP by our brains. 50% of what you see might not be real. This is why eye-witnesses at important events are sometimes not lying when they see different things, and it is how a lot of magic tricks work as they fool your brain into not seeing something or seeing something that does not exist. This adds to the Roshomon effect.
In the future, if you cannot afford a view of Hong Kong harbour you could probably just stick a 120 inch 8k display on the wall and you would be unable to tell the diference between it and the real thing until you got to less than a metre from it.
I have also ordered a 4k VR headset. Looking forward to 16k and 32k VR in the future, which will mean it will look almost indistinguishable from reality.
Tuesday, 8 September 2020
Filler words - which ones someone uses will indicate where they are from
Hong Kong - Kay Sut - beginning of sentence
London/Southern England- Yarnno (You know) - End of sentence
Singapore/Malaysia - La - End of sentence
Singapore/Malaysia - True or not? - Added phrase to end of sentence
Livepool - like - End of sentence
Ireland - for sure- End of sentence
Samuel Jackson fans - motherf****** - anywhere in sentence
Wednesday, 2 September 2020
Crazy cheap- MS Flight Simulator for HKD10 (less than 2 USD) on Microsoft Xbox Games Pass for PC special offer in Hong Kong and only one pound in UK!
Get it before Microsoft change their minds! HKD10 or one pound for first month, then 39HK or 3.99 GBP.
Also includes No Man's Sky VR version.
Sadly I can't get Alien Isolation to work with motherVR and Hellblade does not seem to have the VR version on Xbox Games pas for PC.
Wednesday, 26 August 2020
How much does it cost per year for the space occupied by an upright piano in Hong Kong?
HK rents are still sky high, despite a small drop. Currently the space an upright piano takes up (0.75m2 or 8.1 sq ft) costs me 4500 HKD per year, or about £450 or 585 USD. So in ten years that's a crazy 5850 USD!
Saturday, 8 August 2020
After about 4 years, the rubber coating on my Bluesound Pulse bluetooth speaker has completely oxidised
https://meridian.allenpress.com/rct/article-abstract/30/5/1251/89596/Aging-and-Oxidation-of-Elastomers?redirectedFrom=fulltext
Saturday, 1 August 2020
Let's hope everyone takes up more cycling for health and environment reasons!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IeL81SL7FsA
Thursday, 23 July 2020
Mask wearing death rates updated
The top 5 worst hit covid countries right now are Belgium, UK,Spain, Italy and Sweden with deaths per million population from 561 (Sweden) to 846 (Belgium). The highest death rates in a mask wearing country is 8 (Japan) and 6 (S Korea). Sweden has a social distance culture so falsely thought they would have a low death rate. So it looks like wearing a mask gives a 100 times better death rate if everyone does it than just relying on social distancing. Or maybe it is the culture -in Asia the virus is taken more seriously than elsewhere. Or perhaps it is the weather. Or use of technology to track and trace contacts. Or all 4.
Tuesday, 21 July 2020
Mask wearing countries death rate is still 100 times lower
The top 5 worst hit covid countries right now are Belgium, UK,Spain, Italy and Sweden with deaths per million population from 558 (Sweden) to 846 (Belgium). The highest death rates in a mask wearing country is 8 (Japan) and 6 (Korea). Sweden has a social distance culture so falsely thought they would have a low death rate. So it looks like wearing a mask gives a 100 times better death rate if everyone does it than just relying on social distancing. Or maybe it is the culture -in Asia the virus is taken more seriously than elsewhere. Or perhaps it is the weather. Or use of technology to track and trace contacts. Or all 4.
Tuesday, 7 July 2020
Locations of Skyrim VR and SE custom followers
Locations of Skyrim VR and SE custom followers
Erisia,Arweden (quest) ,yennefer-Winking skee Solitude
Rachel nord,Irinia -Castle dour Solitude
Alexis (male) -temple solitude
anastsia,janna,liane,armanda,anushka,misty-whiterun huntsman
Hibana,livia,liella-Dragonsre Whiterun
Nerida,Caren,vilja -dragonsreach dungeon bannered mare
luna,dayeon- bannered mare
yashira,katniss,tania,aurora twilight - temple whiterun
igraine, miyuki -whitun jornaskr living qrtrs
RubyRose-behind companions Whiterun
demon sorceress lilitha,Kinar vampire, savanna slave(not follower)? , Rhigas (male)-hall Windhelm
Amalia -Cornerclub Windhelm
myra -yngol barrow NE Windhelm
lilissa-Eldergleam sanctuary
blodrayne nightingale inn
Aria,jackelyn braidwood inn kynesgrove (aria needs high poly head instal)
JACKELYN (annoying)- KYNESGROVE
hel unleashed-
solar- lady stone near iland north Falkreath
rosa,irina the swift- angis camp south falkreath
seductress faye (do not use AFT)-dead mans drink falkreath
kate,Caesia-morthal inn
rachel2-morthal highmoon
nemain morthal ruined house
Dao=mehrunes dagon east of morthal
hel rising, sahara,gabby belle-dawnstar windpeak inn
gabriella -has house near Riverwood
undead girl, Wette-book by gerdur's mill Riverwood
Leforte-mysterious lever outside Riverwood
yunsol,mina,lucy ryker, recorder(yonheng,xiaoqi DIALOG NOT WORK IN ENGLISH)- sleeping giant inn
evangeline,alaria- sleeping giant inn
leelo 5th elem -temple riften
cammy(dont like, need change face) -bee riften
cerys -bee riften
kirsten-haelga's bunkhouse Riften
ume-Mistwatch near Riften
kaori-winterhold colege
rosie-frozen inn winterhold
natasha 1 -liars retreat
natasha spellsword- lunds hut
irina- 4 shields tavern Dragon Bridge
danariel-rorikstead inn
Lilith the Nord -The dungeons that you will most likely find her are: Volskygge, Yngol Barrow, North Shriekwind Bastion, Forelhost, Dead Mens Respite and Bleak Falls Barrow
---
In std Skyrim
illia-Darklight tower
--standalne fllowers
sofia,vija,recorder,hel,rachel nord,irina the swift
----
cbbe only
lilitha dark sorceress
ealirel,hibana,sigrid
----
cbp skse followers
livia,
lyris
kaori
bloodrayne
katniss
liella
tania hermit
dayeon
misty skye
marsha
luna
lilith
igraine
---
rdo folower
thelemeny
--ks hairdos
danariel
Friday, 19 June 2020
My favourite boardgames
With approx prices in HKD or £ or usd by age:
3 yr olds
Bloqs
Roadzters £24 ebay
Dragons secret (schatze der drachen)
Gulo gulo £40 ebay HKD 287 bgclub
Go away monster HKD 83
Hop hop hooray £77 ebay
Ladybugs costume party (maskenball der kafer) £35 ebay
Little orchard £40 ebay
Max 1986
Orchard Haba 1986 £45 ebay
Loopin louie
4 yr olds
Richard ritterschlag 10euro amazon.de
Brandon the brave £13,45 amazon
Go
Animal on animal £17 ebay
Black pirate Haba sold £17 used ebay 27 euro plus shipping amazon.de £30.19 amazon
Boo hoo (geistertreppe)
Castle knights Haba 2007 £57 ebay
Chicken cha cha £82 ebay
Da ist der worm drin £
Monster Chase £11 HKD 90 wargames
Monza £24 eBay £8 amazon
Blokus
Viva topo £20 used ebay
Treasure ready go. (Auf der schatze) £73 ebay
Magicians night (nacht der magier) £30 ebay
Kids of carcassonne £25 ebay
Jungle treasure
Tok Tok woodman HKD 160 jolly (£12.50) £52 amazon
Villa piletti HKD 327
Midnight party
Jenga £2 charity shop
Rampage ( aka terror in meeple city) (simple rules)
King of Tokyo (simple rules)
Robot turtles £24 amzn
5yrs
3 little pigs iello HKD 185.5 wargames HKD 220 jolly
Adventurers temple Chac £28 used ebay HKD 385 (£30) HKD 429 (£33) bgclub.com.hk
Break safe £9 ebay
Chess
Akaba Haba £50 ebay
Aquaretto sold £24.50 used ebay £32 new HKD 418 bgclub.com.hk
Battleground crossbows £30 used ebay
Bugs in the kitchen £19 ebay
Catan junior £21.75 ebay
Dancing eggs £31 ebay
Ghost blitz (Chinese HK version available) £33 ebay HKD 169 (£13.20) jolly
£12.63 amazon
Ghost blitz 2. £23 eBay HKD
Giro galoppo £45 ebay. HKD
Igloo pop sold £14 new ebay HKD
Pitch car £53 amzn
Pitch car mini £70 ebay
Carcassonne £22 amzn Chinese version HKD 230 bgclub
Carcassonne big box HKD 530
Lego board games various
Midnight party
Mole in the hole
Monster mansion (print and play free or 29$usd)
Mummy's treasure
Piña pirata HKD 123.4 wargames
Rat-a-tat cat £6 ebay used
Ribbit £25 BGG
Schnapps hubi £37 amzn
Sleeping queens HKD 235 jolly
Heroica fortaan £6.53 used ebay
Whoowasit £35 amazon
Zooloretto mini HKD 235 jolly
Zoowaboo
6yrs
Amazeing labyrinth £20 ebay new
Castle panic HKD 299 (£22.65) jolly Amazon £23.30 HKD 213.2 (£16.65) wargames
Chateau Roquefort £70 ebay
Coloretto
Dungeon heroes HKD 183 wargames £18 ebay
Dungeonquest 2010 fifth version 2014 sixth £50 used , £25 ebay GW version
HKD 538 bgclub
Chinese version HKD 418 wargames
Electronic labyrinth ravens burger HKD 304.9 warga
Incan gold HKD 177
Chinese version HKD 178 bgclub
King of Tokyo HKD 274 wargames
Klondike
Loot Reiner knizia £amzn £ebay
Korsar Reiner knizia
Magic labyrinth £25 amzn
Pirates on the high seas
Qwirkle HKD 230
Rampage £39 new ebay HKD 488 jolly
HKD 382 base23.com/catalog/54 HKD 369 wargames
Tiki topple £39 ebay
Ubongo (Chinese version available ) HKD 306
Uchronia HKD 197.9 wargames
Zooloretto
7yrs
Bausack HKD 510
Dungeon fighter £33 ebay new HKD
King of New York £25
Mice and mystics HKD 457.7 wargames
Heart of glorm 240 HKD 183.8 wargames
Super dungeon explore amazon £55 HKD 611.2 wargames
Von drak HKD 480 HKD 366 wargames
Caverns Roxxor HKD 280 siumui HKD 366 wargames
Rock top HKD 213.2 wargames
Rivet wars 614.4 wargames
Relic knights
8yrs
The agents
Aliens 1989 leading edge games £50 ebay £150 to £200 on BBG !
Augustus HKD HKD 247 wargames
Battle line/schotten totten HKD 136
Builders Middle Ages HKD 110.4 wargames
Castle dice HKD
Cave troll HKD 238
Colossal arena HKD 170
Daytona 500 HKD
Dominion HKD 360
Dragonheart HKD. 204
D&d basic game boardgame 2004 wizards of Coast amazon £75
Dr shark £20 +postage BGG
Dungeon run HKD 305.6 wargames
Elfenland HKD 306
Escape curse of temple amazon £28 used ebay £28 HKD jolly
Escape illusion £18 amazon
Felix the cat in sack 3player
For sale jolly 199
Forbidden island £13 amzn hkd
Forbidden desert HKD jolly255 (£19.92) amzn £16
Formula D HKD. 369.8 wargames
Golem Arcana £39 ebay used
Ghosts love candy
Hanabi HKD 170 jolly
Heroscape £35 master set ebay
Heroquest £20 to £35 ebay
Hey that's my fish HKD 80 wargames
Ingenious hkd272 HKD 242 wargames
Ingenious mass market HKD 151 wargames
Jamaica HKD 369.8 wargames
Kingdoms HKD 208
Medieval academy £25
Pandemic £20 HKD 245 wargames
Pandemic Chinese version HKD 270 bgclub HKD 169 wargames
Quantum 2013 HKD
Sentinels HKD 276
Rook city HKD 148
Infernal HKD 148
Shattered HKD 140
Smallworld HKD 400
Star fluxx HKD
Summoner wars HKD 340
Super fantasy
Survive escape from Atlantis HKD 380 HKD 268 base23.com
Takenoko HKD 308 (£24) wargames £26.50 amzn
Ticket to ride Europe HKD 380
Tokaido HKD 252 wargames.hk
Trollhalla HKD 340
Word on street junior HKD 160
9yrs
Legends of andor HKD 363 wargames
Ogre
Talisman 4th ed HKD 408
HKD 363.8 wargames
10yrs
7 wonders HKD 308.8 wargames
Alien frontiers
Amun-re
Ascension storm of souls
At the gates of loyang
Awful green
Batman gothic city
strategy HKD 365
Battle lore
Big city
Black fleet HKD 431.5 wargames
Car wars
Cleopatra and the society of architects
Conquest of planet earth HKD 340
Cosmic encounter FFG HKD 408 siumui HKD 390 war games.com.hk
Creature that ate Sheboygan
Cutthroat caverns (3-6players)
Cyclades HKD 440 HKD 431.5 wargames
Defenders of the realm £45 ebay HKD 699 bgclub
Descent 2nd HKD HKD 612 siumui HKD 579 wargames.com.hk
D&d legends drizzt HKD 550 HKD 433.9 wargames
Raven loft HKD 550 HKD 434.9 wargames
Wrath HKD 550 amazon £45 HKD 433.9 wargames
Conquest of nerath HKD 534.3 wargames
Dungeon scroll
Dungeon twister HKD 184.5 wargames
Dust tactics core set £41 infinity games HKD 502 wargames
Galaxy trucker
Guardians chronicles HKD 427.1 wargames
Havana
Ikusa HKD 534.3 wargames
I'm the boss
Invasion from outer space : the Martian game
Kemet HKD 419.8 wargames
Kings and things
Knightmare chess £75 ebay!
Legendary marvel
Lord of the rings ; confrontation 2002 knizia
Middle earth 1995 iron crown ebay £100
Mission red planet 2005 (3 to 5 players) ebay 90usd amazon £96
Munchkin
Munchkin panic
Mutant chronicles siege of citadel 1993 ebay £45
Mystery express £145! Amazon
Myth
Neuroshima hex
Nexus ops
Pathfinder
Run fight or die
Robinson Crusoe
Samurai
Shadow hunters
Sherlock Holmes consulting HKD 246.3 wargames £30 waterstones
Mansion murders
Adventures by gaslight
Queens park
West end adventures used 42USD in USA ebay
Star Wars card game
Star Wars epic duels £165 used amazon, new £210 ebay
Star Wars miniatures 2004 oop
Star Wars queens gambit £130 on ebay!
Star Wars xwing English HKD 280 wargames jolly 340
Star Wars x wing Chinese HKD 218 wargames
Star Wars imperial assault
Steam park HKD 243.8 wargames
Stone Age
Summoner wars HKD 319.5 wargames
Tikal
Valley of the kings HKD 122.8 wargames
Vikings
Volt robot battle arena
Wizard
Wyatt Earp
Zombicide £50 BGG £56 amzn
12yrs
Acquire £23 new ebay HKD 275 bgclub HKD 202 wargames
Agents of Smersh
Android netrunner
Battle of 5 armies
Battles of westeros
Battlestar galactica
Battlestations
Betrayal at house on hill (3-6 players) HKD 333 wargames
Batman Gotham City chronicles (if you can get past the rules)
Caylus
City of remnants HKD 389.8 wargames
Civilisation
Claustrophobia HKD 431.5 wargames
Conquest of nerath £35 amzn ebay new,HKD 895 bgclub HKD 534 wargames
Conquest of planet earth
Cthulhu wars $200 USD direct plus postage
Defenders of the last stand
Duel of ages 2
Dungeon command
Gruumsh HKD 266.7 wargames
Curse of Undeath hkd 266.7 wargames
Heart of cormyr HKD 266.7
Sting of lolth HKD 266.7
Tyranny of goblins HKD 266.7
Dungeon lords HKD 442 , petz HKD 438
Earth reborn HKD
Eclipse HKD
Eldritch horror HKD 411.4 wargames
Empires of the Void
Endeavor
Fortune and glory
Galaxy defenders HKD 555 wargames
Ghost stories HKD 308.8 wargames
Glory to Rome
Hannibal
Illuminati
Imperial 2030
Junta (west end games) ebay £23 to £37
Last night on earth
Magic realm $80 usd ebay
Marvel heroes
Middle earth quest FFG HKD 493 wargames £45 ebay
Mythology
Olympos
Pillars of the earth
Dune (Avalon hill 3-6 players) ebay £135
Spice harvest
The duel £50 ebay
Resistance
Runewars HKD 571.1 wargames
Seasons
Shadows of brimstone city of ancients usd66 cool stuff
Space hulk 3rd ed £75 to 150 ebay! 4th ed £75 to £125
Space alert
Star fleet captains
Through the ages
Mage wars HKD 369.8 wargames
Power grid
Rex final days (3-6 players) £42 ebay
Sekigahara
Shadowrift
Starcraft
Tannhauser £28 ebay
Tales of Arabian nights
Tash kalar
Thunderstone
Titan
Trajan
Tzolkin
Race for the galaxy
Volt
Warrior knights
13yrs
Brass
City of horror
Mall of horror HKD 308.8
Chaos in the old world
Mansions of madness HKD 569 Chinese version
Twilight struggle
War of the ring HKD 549.4 wargames
Zombicide prison break HKD 614.4 wargames
Zombicide toxic city 368.4 wargames
Zombie 15 HKD 518.8 wargames
14yrs
Dominant species
Mage knight
Game of thrones
Republic of Rome
Spartacus
Thursday, 18 June 2020
Mask wearing countries death rates are 100 times lower than the worst hit countries
The top 5 worst hit covid countries right now are Belgium, UK,Spain, Italy and Sweden with deaths per million population from 500 (Sweden) to 836 (Belgium). The highest death rates in a mask wearing country is 7 (Japan) and 5 (Korea). Sweden has a social distance culture so falsely thought they would have a low death rate. So it looks like wearing a mask is 100 times better if everyone does it than just relying on social distancing. Or maybe it is the culture -in Asia the virus is taken more seriously than elsewhere. Or perhaps it is the weather. Or use of technology to track and trace contacts. Or all 4.
Wednesday, 20 May 2020
About 35% of recent covid cases in HK were asymptomatic
54 out of the last 156 cases in HK were asymptomatic
Saturday, 2 May 2020
Saturday, 25 April 2020
It is insane to ease lockdowns until reproduction number is below one
thanks to mathmatics if reproduction number is greater than one the virus will grow exponentially killing perhaps 20% of the population and totally destroying the economy. Once you have the virus under control (zero cases and zero deaths for 20 days) remove lockdown measures. As soon as you get any new cases go back into lockdown until there are no new cases.
Friday, 24 April 2020
Virtual Reality is going to be big in the next 5 years
I'm now completely convinced Virtual Reality and Augmented reality will play a huge role in our future. So companies to look out for in this area - Valve, Microsoft, Facebook, HTC, HP, Samsung,Pimax, Sony. Maybe Apple, but they seem late to the party and Google seem to have stalled. Tesla is interesting for their neuro-interface. Though the need for cars will be reduced if you can virtually travel anywhere and interact almost as easy as real life.
Half life Alyx VR is the best gaming experience I have ever had.
Tuesday, 21 April 2020
Half-Life Alyx Is Incredible!
The detail, story , immersion and excitement is out of this world! Simply wow!
Sunday, 19 April 2020
Friday, 17 April 2020
How much is one China person's life worth?
The lockdown in China has cost their economy about 1 trillion USD. Each year flu kills around 70k people in China, so one life is worth less than 14.3 million USD?
How much is one life worth?
I have heard in the UK they don't change an accident blackspot if the deaths per year saved are less than the cost of fixing it by 2 million GBP per person.
The very soft lockdown in HK has resulted in about 250 fewer deaths from flu than normal. Let's say the economy has suffered 2 billion USD. They don't have soft lockdowns in HK because of flu because the lives of 250 people are not worth 2 billion USD, or 8 million USD per person.
USA had approx 60k deaths from flu in 2019. So they don't do a 2 trillion USD lockdown for 60k people. So one person in USA is worth less than 33.33 million USD per person.
Thursday, 9 April 2020
Tuesday, 7 April 2020
model death predictions 2020
Current model:200k 21 april, 300k 29 April, 400k 5 may, 500k 11 May, 600k 17 may, 700k 22may, 1m 5 jun, 2m 8 jul, 3m 31 jul, 4m 18 Aug, 5m 2 sep, 6m 16 sep
Monday, 6 April 2020
2030 predictions
2030 predictions in technology
As I had a touchscreen colour internet connected smartphone 6 years before the first iphone, a 42" plasma TV about 10 years before they were common and a wifi touchscreen 8 inch tablet 8 years before the ipad, here are some of my tech predictions.
Vast uptake of AI in everything. I had TiVo AI in 1999 making TV recommendations. Everything you do online will come with AI recommendations and pre-emptive suggestions - digital assistants are much smarter and actually useful most of times. AI analyses your daily routines and gives reminders without you setting them based on previous data. Like having a real butler.
China and USA continue to dominate AI advances. China dominates AI facial recognition. First self driving trucks operate commercially in USA. China launches a self driving city.
Road deaths reduced due to self driving.
Quantum computers start becoming more reliable and greatly improve total available computing power. TPUs, ASIc, FPGA and GPUs become more prevalent.
Computer graphics can now produce 2d videos almost ondistinguishable from reality. Big rise in deep fakes. This makes video and photographic evidence less useable in court cases as convincing fakes are so cheap and easy to make. Rise of fake video news. Businesses and quality of life for almost everyone improves due to cheaper and more powerful computing power. Most poor countries now able to rise out of poverty base lines due to improved world economy thanks in part to quantum computing and general advances in processors.
5G goes mainstream, replacing 4G. Self driving cars in some city centres - human driven cars banned in those areas. Surgeons and dentists use 5G to perform work using robots
Most menial jobs starting to be replaced by smart robots or kiosks. Cashierless stores become more common.
Cryptocurrency gets 5 times current adoption, paper currency use drops by 20% as payments mostly made by smartphones. Driving licences, public transport passes, credit cards all go mainly digital and connected to your phone.
Bitcoin and Ethereum evolve and develop quantum resistance and remain hack proof, though 3rd party software and centralised exchanges remain vulnerable to human insider hacks.
Almost all high end smartphones are foldable or rollable and convert into tablets. Multi Terabyte storage, 256GB Ram, 64 core cpu and dedicated raytracing GPU common in phones. 6G wireless network planned.
Folding smartphones replace small tablets, and big tablets start to replace laptops. Most laptops become multi function tablets.
VR makes big headways, and good systems only cost 200 USD.
Playstation 6 and Xbox 5th gen consoles do 120fps with ray tracing at 8k resolution. 5G game streaming becomes common. Valve finally announce they will release a game with 3 in the title.
Sony continues to dominate professional camera market by using AI and smart features.
Tesla dominates electric car market. Electric cars make up 10% of all sales.
Standard car screens are 18 inches with many other big screens across the whole dash and HUD, autopilot,360 view is standard
Smart watches become more useful due to foldable or rollable displays that enlarge.
Start of new battery technologies and greater uptake of solar. Electric cars fitted with solar roofs as efficiency now makes them feasible. Better alternative batteries to Lithium Ion start to appear in commercial use.
Hopefully nuclear fusion becomes viable - solving all our energy needs - making enough energy so cheap we can completely eliminate poverty, send a colony to Mars, make air,car travel 200 times cheaper
Everyone will have affordable multiroom audio systems like i had with Sonos in 2004.
Highdef audio streaming and 4k video streaming is common.
Increased cheap computing power and blockchain tech enable governments to become more demicratic (if they want) as election and referendum costs drastically reduced.
UK partially rejoins EU due to mainly economic reasons, though migration is less of an issue in a more digital world.
Number of digital nomads rises significantly.
Big tech companies face government mandated split and breakup as they stifle competition once they are too big, just like the big oil companies a century before.
Facebook hits 3 billion active users per month, up from 2.3 billion in 2019. Youtube not far off as well. So approx 37% of the entire world population or about 50% OF ALL ADULTS!
Big increase in technology is main factor in preventing world recession despite banks and governments over printing money and/or creating it out of thin air (quantitative easing).
Zombie companies propped up by fiat currency handouts will continue to fail as technologically better competitors take away their business and customers
Commercially available neural interfaces become common for people with disabilities. People without disabilities also use them to improve on the speed of data operations compared with using traditional smartphones and computers
AI starts to be able to make significant creativity gains in the fields of music and art and remain vastly superior to humans in almost everything else
TLDR: the world is changing at its fastest rate in buman history and this will be a force feedback loop so will change even more from 2030 to 2040 than from 2020-2030
China's social credit AI system might turn into the Chinese version of Cyberdyne and decide to take control of the world - re-watch the first 3 Terminator movies :)
Sunday, 5 April 2020
Thursday, 2 April 2020
Wednesday, 1 April 2020
grow your own food
Probably a good idea to grow your own food (google 'indoor garden' if you don't have a garden). Exponential growth of the virus will affect food supply chains
Sadly exponential growth predictions are very bad if no vaccine or more lockdowns
Worldwide: 100k deaths by 10 april 2020
1m deaths by 28 May 2020
2m deaths by 21 jun 2020
3m deaths by 9 jul 2020
5m deaths by 3 aug 2020
10m deaths by 18 sep 2020
Friday, 13 March 2020
Tuesday, 3 March 2020
Wednesday, 26 February 2020
Word Creation Day
Pundemic - outbreak of puns during a virus outbreak
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/law-and-crime/article/3051231/coronavirus-hong-kong-police-roll-third-suspect-toilet
Free-totaler
Someone who only drinks alcohol when it's free
Kree-totaler
Someone who only drinks alcohol when engaged in suitable nerd activities such as watching Marvel Cinematic Universe material
Frackglass
English equivalent of the German warning - "Watch out there is broken glass on the floor"
Friday, 14 February 2020
Basic hygiene advice to reduce infections to keep family safe
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IkdPFCStA38
Wednesday, 12 February 2020
Monday, 10 February 2020
Looks like super spreaders can spend a month without showing symptons. Unfortunately it means quarantine period should not be 14 days - it should be 30 days.
The super spreader at the Singapore conference has shown no symptons for a whole month
A safer alternative to shaking hands
I know this might sound crazy, but if everyone on the planet gave each other a thumbs up (without touching) or gentle butt bump instead of shaking hands or a kiss on the cheek would we save hundreds of thousands of lives from flu and other viruses?
Hugs would be ok so long as you don't touch faces or cough or sneeze.
Of course if you are getting intimate or share a room with the person this would not make any difference as whatever they have you will get anyway.
Sunday, 9 February 2020
Don't buy n95 or better masks as medical staff on frontline don't have enough
these people are risking their lives for you so don't buy or use N95 or higher grade masks unless you need it for your job. There is not enough supply at the moment.
Dont panic everone it's just a model
This is just a model. With time we get herd immunity so numbers will eventually drop off.
This model predicts 1.5 million deaths per year compared to 690k for influenza, and influenza keeps repeating every year, whereas most other new viruses don't last after first year
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