Monday 28 December 2020

If you are a Chinese NEVER tell your mom about your private life.

If you are a Chinese NEVER tell your mom about your private life. Since our grandparents and great grandparents had about 10 kids each we have 10 million living relatives and non-relatives who are also called aunties. This means there is 90% chance your mom will tell auntie A who will tell auntie B who will tell auntie C ... to auntie N where N is a very large number :). I guess there is only 2 degrees of separation in the overseas Chinese community so this makes it doubly worse.

Saturday 26 December 2020

Why Bitcoin will outperform Tesla and Gold

Governments can't control Bitcoin, so I expect it to go to 11 trillion market cap or more, or at least 610k USD per Bitcoin. Apple is worth over 2.2 trillion, Tesla is at 0.63 trillion, Bitcoin is now at 0.5 trillion. All the worlds gold is about 11.5 trillion USD. Historically companies get broken up once they get too powerful at about 8 trillion USD inflation adjusted (oil companies and Dutch East India company). So I expect tech companies to go up to 8 trillion before being split into 2.

Sunday 20 December 2020

Total value of gold now 11.4 trillion, total value of Bitcoin 445 billion

I expect Bitcoin will reach a value of 11 trillion in next few years, so this would be a price of 614k USD per Bitcoin

Friday 11 December 2020

RIP Barbara Windsor. Dementia and Alzheimer's kills about 190 per day in the UK.

RIP Barbara Windsor. Dementia and Alzheimer's kills about 190 per day in the UK.

Tuesday 8 December 2020

Tech predictions updates

Not much to add except that both AR and VR will rise concurrently with Apple releasing something decent by 2025 and decentralised finance projects start to replace traditional banking and Wall Street adopts Bitcoin AND Ethereum at a significant level. Obviously remote working and video streaming tech will rise even more and perhaps be the normal way of working.

Friday 4 December 2020

Sleep 30% more than normal if possible

Instead of getting stressed about how shite this year is/has been just sleep 30% more than normal if possible. 1. You live longer 2. You stay looking young longer 3. Your immune system is strengthened and so makes you less likely to suffer from you know what 4. The shite year passes a lot faster 5. You spend less possible time spreading the virus or wasting time on Facebook

Tuesday 24 November 2020

UK and Czech rep might have biggest Lithium reserves in Europe -BBC click

https://www.statista.com/statistics/268790/countries-with-the-largest-lithium-reserves-worldwide/ So Chile, Australia, Argentina, China, USA,Zimbabwe,UK, Czech Rep, Brazil and Portugal will have the largest known reserves of lithium, which is effectively the new replacement for oil.

Saturday 31 October 2020

Familism (or familismo) is broadly defined as “prioritizing one’s family over oneself” and is probably more prevalent in Hispanic and immigrant cultures, thus also partly explaining the higher death rates in those groups

I have a very different theory as to why there are more deaths at home. The old and sick might have taken the noble decision not to seek hospital treatment so as not to further burden the NHS and to leave their estates and wills to their heirs sooner rather than later, thus sacrificing themselves for the sake of their children. Familism (or familismo) is broadly defined as “prioritizing one’s family over oneself” and is probably more prevalent in Hispanic and immigrant cultures, thus also partly explaining the higher death rates in those groups.

Saturday 10 October 2020

Predictions for 2021

Predictions for 2021 Cases to rise significantly till mid-2021 due to both better testing and people not taking virus seriously Covid vaccine trials successful and rollout will mean pandemic is over by 2022 Trump is diagnosed with early onset Alzheimer's Death rates for all countries by covid falls significantly as the vulnerable are sadly already dead, we have better anti-virals, better isolation protocols (apparently at the start of the outbreak there was significant transmission within hospitals and care homes as we did not know extent of pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic transmission and airborne transmission rates). Countries that don't have widespread mask wearing have significantly higher death rates from covid. Advances in technology such as AI, AR, VR, GPU, DPU and CPU development mean economies to do not suffer as much as previously predicted

Monday 5 October 2020

Difficulty putting two Ikea Besta units together to create a deeper 80cm TV cabinet

Main problem is that the 2nd unit is very wobbly without its cardboard back frame. So had to screw 20 plates to hold the two frames together. "It's not the first time we have put something into a hole and started screwing blindly"

Thursday 1 October 2020

5 tips to stop RSI and save you 100,000 of dollars.

https://youtu.be/j0SApYr3lWg

To my fellow big eaters and people with high metabolisms:

To my fellow big eaters and people with high metabolisms: When you go into a restauarant and order a meal for two for just yourself do you get strange looks from the staff or nearby customers? One time in Hong Kong an elderly gent near me said "Nei gom ging" or "You are amazing". I had to hold back and not say "That's what she said" :) (Though in Cantonese I think I would have had to say "That's what my girlfriend said" as Canto and Chinese does not have gender specific third person)

Monday 28 September 2020

Social Dilemna

It is really scary what AI can do. But it is just a technology that can be used for good and bad. With AI we now have so many improvements in quality of life that most people are not aware of as costs of doing business are reduced across many sectors. It's use will rise exponentially so the ability for doing bad or good will similarly rise. We are in a critical stage where we need to see and decide which companies to support in this field. While there is a ton of bad that Facebook do, there is also a ton of good which just outweighs that. Facebook is making advances in VR and AR as well as use of AI to help us communicate in situations that would not normally be possible. Facebook tech can now help people born with only 3 fingers see and use a full 5 fingers with AR. IF you want to be a demon typist Facebook tech can add a 6th finger in AR and allow your brain to adjust and control it!

Sunday 27 September 2020

8k displays are now close to life-like reality

I now have a computer that is pretty much capable of displaying and producing 8k content. That is 33million pixels or four times what is commonly in your top end smartphone or high end monitors and Tvs. 4k resolution is only 8.3 million pixels. This approaches photo-realism in that your brain can find it hard not to see that it is not real. Since our brains only see reality in high resolution in a small section of our view in our fovea, the rest of what we see is MADE UP by our brains. 50% of what you see might not be real. This is why eye-witnesses at important events are sometimes not lying when they see different things, and it is how a lot of magic tricks work as they fool your brain into not seeing something or seeing something that does not exist. This adds to the Roshomon effect. In the future, if you cannot afford a view of Hong Kong harbour you could probably just stick a 120 inch 8k display on the wall and you would be unable to tell the diference between it and the real thing until you got to less than a metre from it. I have also ordered a 4k VR headset. Looking forward to 16k and 32k VR in the future, which will mean it will look almost indistinguishable from reality.

Tuesday 8 September 2020

Filler words - which ones someone uses will indicate where they are from

Hong Kong - Kay Sut - beginning of sentence London/Southern England- Yarnno (You know) - End of sentence Singapore/Malaysia - La - End of sentence Singapore/Malaysia - True or not? - Added phrase to end of sentence Livepool - like - End of sentence Ireland - for sure- End of sentence Samuel Jackson fans - motherf****** - anywhere in sentence

Wednesday 2 September 2020

Crazy cheap- MS Flight Simulator for HKD10 (less than 2 USD) on Microsoft Xbox Games Pass for PC special offer in Hong Kong and only one pound in UK!

Get it before Microsoft change their minds! HKD10 or one pound for first month, then 39HK or 3.99 GBP. Also includes No Man's Sky VR version. Sadly I can't get Alien Isolation to work with motherVR and Hellblade does not seem to have the VR version on Xbox Games pas for PC.

Wednesday 26 August 2020

How much does it cost per year for the space occupied by an upright piano in Hong Kong?

HK rents are still sky high, despite a small drop. Currently the space an upright piano takes up (0.75m2 or 8.1 sq ft) costs me 4500 HKD per year, or about £450 or 585 USD. So in ten years that's a crazy 5850 USD!

Saturday 8 August 2020

After about 4 years, the rubber coating on my Bluesound Pulse bluetooth speaker has completely oxidised

https://meridian.allenpress.com/rct/article-abstract/30/5/1251/89596/Aging-and-Oxidation-of-Elastomers?redirectedFrom=fulltext

Saturday 1 August 2020

Thursday 23 July 2020

Mask wearing death rates updated

The top 5 worst hit covid countries right now are Belgium, UK,Spain, Italy and Sweden with deaths per million population from 561 (Sweden) to 846 (Belgium). The highest death rates in a mask wearing country is 8 (Japan) and 6 (S Korea). Sweden has a social distance culture so falsely thought they would have a low death rate. So it looks like wearing a mask gives a 100 times better death rate if everyone does it than just relying on social distancing. Or maybe it is the culture -in Asia the virus is taken more seriously than elsewhere. Or perhaps it is the weather. Or use of technology to track and trace contacts. Or all 4.

Tuesday 21 July 2020

Mask wearing countries death rate is still 100 times lower

The top 5 worst hit covid countries right now are Belgium, UK,Spain, Italy and Sweden with deaths per million population from 558 (Sweden) to 846 (Belgium). The highest death rates in a mask wearing country is 8 (Japan) and 6 (Korea). Sweden has a social distance culture so falsely thought they would have a low death rate. So it looks like wearing a mask gives a 100 times better death rate if everyone does it than just relying on social distancing. Or maybe it is the culture -in Asia the virus is taken more seriously than elsewhere. Or perhaps it is the weather. Or use of technology to track and trace contacts. Or all 4.

Asymptomatic one week, dead from covid the next!

Alive with no symptoms a week ago, but sadly now died from covid19 on 17 july 2020. RIP

Tuesday 7 July 2020

Locations of Skyrim VR and SE custom followers

Locations of Skyrim VR and SE custom followers Erisia,Arweden (quest) ,yennefer-Winking skee Solitude Rachel nord,Irinia -Castle dour Solitude Alexis (male) -temple solitude anastsia,janna,liane,armanda,anushka,misty-whiterun huntsman Hibana,livia,liella-Dragonsre Whiterun Nerida,Caren,vilja -dragonsreach dungeon bannered mare luna,dayeon- bannered mare yashira,katniss,tania,aurora twilight - temple whiterun igraine, miyuki -whitun jornaskr living qrtrs RubyRose-behind companions Whiterun demon sorceress lilitha,Kinar vampire, savanna slave(not follower)? , Rhigas (male)-hall Windhelm Amalia -Cornerclub Windhelm myra -yngol barrow NE Windhelm lilissa-Eldergleam sanctuary blodrayne nightingale inn Aria,jackelyn braidwood inn kynesgrove (aria needs high poly head instal) JACKELYN (annoying)- KYNESGROVE hel unleashed- solar- lady stone near iland north Falkreath rosa,irina the swift- angis camp south falkreath seductress faye (do not use AFT)-dead mans drink falkreath kate,Caesia-morthal inn rachel2-morthal highmoon nemain morthal ruined house Dao=mehrunes dagon east of morthal hel rising, sahara,gabby belle-dawnstar windpeak inn gabriella -has house near Riverwood undead girl, Wette-book by gerdur's mill Riverwood Leforte-mysterious lever outside Riverwood yunsol,mina,lucy ryker, recorder(yonheng,xiaoqi DIALOG NOT WORK IN ENGLISH)- sleeping giant inn evangeline,alaria- sleeping giant inn leelo 5th elem -temple riften cammy(dont like, need change face) -bee riften cerys -bee riften kirsten-haelga's bunkhouse Riften ume-Mistwatch near Riften kaori-winterhold colege rosie-frozen inn winterhold natasha 1 -liars retreat natasha spellsword- lunds hut irina- 4 shields tavern Dragon Bridge danariel-rorikstead inn Lilith the Nord -The dungeons that you will most likely find her are: Volskygge, Yngol Barrow, North Shriekwind Bastion, Forelhost, Dead Mens Respite and Bleak Falls Barrow --- In std Skyrim illia-Darklight tower --standalne fllowers sofia,vija,recorder,hel,rachel nord,irina the swift ---- cbbe only lilitha dark sorceress ealirel,hibana,sigrid ---- cbp skse followers livia, lyris kaori bloodrayne katniss liella tania hermit dayeon misty skye marsha luna lilith igraine --- rdo folower thelemeny --ks hairdos danariel

Friday 19 June 2020

My favourite boardgames

With approx prices in HKD or £ or usd by age: 3 yr olds Bloqs Roadzters £24 ebay Dragons secret (schatze der drachen) Gulo gulo £40 ebay HKD 287 bgclub Go away monster HKD 83 Hop hop hooray £77 ebay Ladybugs costume party (maskenball der kafer) £35 ebay Little orchard £40 ebay Max 1986 Orchard Haba 1986 £45 ebay Loopin louie 4 yr olds Richard ritterschlag 10euro amazon.de Brandon the brave £13,45 amazon Go Animal on animal £17 ebay Black pirate Haba sold £17 used ebay 27 euro plus shipping amazon.de £30.19 amazon Boo hoo (geistertreppe) Castle knights Haba 2007 £57 ebay Chicken cha cha £82 ebay Da ist der worm drin £ Monster Chase £11 HKD 90 wargames Monza £24 eBay £8 amazon Blokus Viva topo £20 used ebay Treasure ready go. (Auf der schatze) £73 ebay Magicians night (nacht der magier) £30 ebay Kids of carcassonne £25 ebay Jungle treasure Tok Tok woodman HKD 160 jolly (£12.50) £52 amazon Villa piletti HKD 327 Midnight party Jenga £2 charity shop Rampage ( aka terror in meeple city) (simple rules) King of Tokyo (simple rules) Robot turtles £24 amzn 5yrs 3 little pigs iello HKD 185.5 wargames HKD 220 jolly Adventurers temple Chac £28 used ebay HKD 385 (£30) HKD 429 (£33) bgclub.com.hk Break safe £9 ebay Chess Akaba Haba £50 ebay Aquaretto sold £24.50 used ebay £32 new HKD 418 bgclub.com.hk Battleground crossbows £30 used ebay Bugs in the kitchen £19 ebay Catan junior £21.75 ebay Dancing eggs £31 ebay Ghost blitz (Chinese HK version available) £33 ebay HKD 169 (£13.20) jolly £12.63 amazon Ghost blitz 2. £23 eBay HKD Giro galoppo £45 ebay. HKD Igloo pop sold £14 new ebay HKD Pitch car £53 amzn Pitch car mini £70 ebay Carcassonne £22 amzn Chinese version HKD 230 bgclub Carcassonne big box HKD 530 Lego board games various Midnight party Mole in the hole Monster mansion (print and play free or 29$usd) Mummy's treasure Piña pirata HKD 123.4 wargames Rat-a-tat cat £6 ebay used Ribbit £25 BGG Schnapps hubi £37 amzn Sleeping queens HKD 235 jolly Heroica fortaan £6.53 used ebay Whoowasit £35 amazon Zooloretto mini HKD 235 jolly Zoowaboo 6yrs Amazeing labyrinth £20 ebay new Castle panic HKD 299 (£22.65) jolly Amazon £23.30 HKD 213.2 (£16.65) wargames Chateau Roquefort £70 ebay Coloretto Dungeon heroes HKD 183 wargames £18 ebay Dungeonquest 2010 fifth version 2014 sixth £50 used , £25 ebay GW version HKD 538 bgclub Chinese version HKD 418 wargames Electronic labyrinth ravens burger HKD 304.9 warga Incan gold HKD 177 Chinese version HKD 178 bgclub King of Tokyo HKD 274 wargames Klondike Loot Reiner knizia £amzn £ebay Korsar Reiner knizia Magic labyrinth £25 amzn Pirates on the high seas Qwirkle HKD 230 Rampage £39 new ebay HKD 488 jolly HKD 382 base23.com/catalog/54 HKD 369 wargames Tiki topple £39 ebay Ubongo (Chinese version available ) HKD 306 Uchronia HKD 197.9 wargames Zooloretto 7yrs Bausack HKD 510 Dungeon fighter £33 ebay new HKD King of New York £25 Mice and mystics HKD 457.7 wargames Heart of glorm 240 HKD 183.8 wargames Super dungeon explore amazon £55 HKD 611.2 wargames Von drak HKD 480 HKD 366 wargames Caverns Roxxor HKD 280 siumui HKD 366 wargames Rock top HKD 213.2 wargames Rivet wars 614.4 wargames Relic knights 8yrs The agents Aliens 1989 leading edge games £50 ebay £150 to £200 on BBG ! Augustus HKD HKD 247 wargames Battle line/schotten totten HKD 136 Builders Middle Ages HKD 110.4 wargames Castle dice HKD Cave troll HKD 238 Colossal arena HKD 170 Daytona 500 HKD Dominion HKD 360 Dragonheart HKD. 204 D&d basic game boardgame 2004 wizards of Coast amazon £75 Dr shark £20 +postage BGG Dungeon run HKD 305.6 wargames Elfenland HKD 306 Escape curse of temple amazon £28 used ebay £28 HKD jolly Escape illusion £18 amazon Felix the cat in sack 3player For sale jolly 199 Forbidden island £13 amzn hkd Forbidden desert HKD jolly255 (£19.92) amzn £16 Formula D HKD. 369.8 wargames Golem Arcana £39 ebay used Ghosts love candy Hanabi HKD 170 jolly Heroscape £35 master set ebay Heroquest £20 to £35 ebay Hey that's my fish HKD 80 wargames Ingenious hkd272 HKD 242 wargames Ingenious mass market HKD 151 wargames Jamaica HKD 369.8 wargames Kingdoms HKD 208 Medieval academy £25 Pandemic £20 HKD 245 wargames Pandemic Chinese version HKD 270 bgclub HKD 169 wargames Quantum 2013 HKD Sentinels HKD 276 Rook city HKD 148 Infernal HKD 148 Shattered HKD 140 Smallworld HKD 400 Star fluxx HKD Summoner wars HKD 340 Super fantasy Survive escape from Atlantis HKD 380 HKD 268 base23.com Takenoko HKD 308 (£24) wargames £26.50 amzn Ticket to ride Europe HKD 380 Tokaido HKD 252 wargames.hk Trollhalla HKD 340 Word on street junior HKD 160 9yrs Legends of andor HKD 363 wargames Ogre Talisman 4th ed HKD 408 HKD 363.8 wargames 10yrs 7 wonders HKD 308.8 wargames Alien frontiers Amun-re Ascension storm of souls At the gates of loyang Awful green Batman gothic city strategy HKD 365 Battle lore Big city Black fleet HKD 431.5 wargames Car wars Cleopatra and the society of architects Conquest of planet earth HKD 340 Cosmic encounter FFG HKD 408 siumui HKD 390 war games.com.hk Creature that ate Sheboygan Cutthroat caverns (3-6players) Cyclades HKD 440 HKD 431.5 wargames Defenders of the realm £45 ebay HKD 699 bgclub Descent 2nd HKD HKD 612 siumui HKD 579 wargames.com.hk D&d legends drizzt HKD 550 HKD 433.9 wargames Raven loft HKD 550 HKD 434.9 wargames Wrath HKD 550 amazon £45 HKD 433.9 wargames Conquest of nerath HKD 534.3 wargames Dungeon scroll Dungeon twister HKD 184.5 wargames Dust tactics core set £41 infinity games HKD 502 wargames Galaxy trucker Guardians chronicles HKD 427.1 wargames Havana Ikusa HKD 534.3 wargames I'm the boss Invasion from outer space : the Martian game Kemet HKD 419.8 wargames Kings and things Knightmare chess £75 ebay! Legendary marvel Lord of the rings ; confrontation 2002 knizia Middle earth 1995 iron crown ebay £100 Mission red planet 2005 (3 to 5 players) ebay 90usd amazon £96 Munchkin Munchkin panic Mutant chronicles siege of citadel 1993 ebay £45 Mystery express £145! Amazon Myth Neuroshima hex Nexus ops Pathfinder Run fight or die Robinson Crusoe Samurai Shadow hunters Sherlock Holmes consulting HKD 246.3 wargames £30 waterstones Mansion murders Adventures by gaslight Queens park West end adventures used 42USD in USA ebay Star Wars card game Star Wars epic duels £165 used amazon, new £210 ebay Star Wars miniatures 2004 oop Star Wars queens gambit £130 on ebay! Star Wars xwing English HKD 280 wargames jolly 340 Star Wars x wing Chinese HKD 218 wargames Star Wars imperial assault Steam park HKD 243.8 wargames Stone Age Summoner wars HKD 319.5 wargames Tikal Valley of the kings HKD 122.8 wargames Vikings Volt robot battle arena Wizard Wyatt Earp Zombicide £50 BGG £56 amzn 12yrs Acquire £23 new ebay HKD 275 bgclub HKD 202 wargames Agents of Smersh Android netrunner Battle of 5 armies Battles of westeros Battlestar galactica Battlestations Betrayal at house on hill (3-6 players) HKD 333 wargames Batman Gotham City chronicles (if you can get past the rules) Caylus City of remnants HKD 389.8 wargames Civilisation Claustrophobia HKD 431.5 wargames Conquest of nerath £35 amzn ebay new,HKD 895 bgclub HKD 534 wargames Conquest of planet earth Cthulhu wars $200 USD direct plus postage Defenders of the last stand Duel of ages 2 Dungeon command Gruumsh HKD 266.7 wargames Curse of Undeath hkd 266.7 wargames Heart of cormyr HKD 266.7 Sting of lolth HKD 266.7 Tyranny of goblins HKD 266.7 Dungeon lords HKD 442 , petz HKD 438 Earth reborn HKD Eclipse HKD Eldritch horror HKD 411.4 wargames Empires of the Void Endeavor Fortune and glory Galaxy defenders HKD 555 wargames Ghost stories HKD 308.8 wargames Glory to Rome Hannibal Illuminati Imperial 2030 Junta (west end games) ebay £23 to £37 Last night on earth Magic realm $80 usd ebay Marvel heroes Middle earth quest FFG HKD 493 wargames £45 ebay Mythology Olympos Pillars of the earth Dune (Avalon hill 3-6 players) ebay £135 Spice harvest The duel £50 ebay Resistance Runewars HKD 571.1 wargames Seasons Shadows of brimstone city of ancients usd66 cool stuff Space hulk 3rd ed £75 to 150 ebay! 4th ed £75 to £125 Space alert Star fleet captains Through the ages Mage wars HKD 369.8 wargames Power grid Rex final days (3-6 players) £42 ebay Sekigahara Shadowrift Starcraft Tannhauser £28 ebay Tales of Arabian nights Tash kalar Thunderstone Titan Trajan Tzolkin Race for the galaxy Volt Warrior knights 13yrs Brass City of horror Mall of horror HKD 308.8 Chaos in the old world Mansions of madness HKD 569 Chinese version Twilight struggle War of the ring HKD 549.4 wargames Zombicide prison break HKD 614.4 wargames Zombicide toxic city 368.4 wargames Zombie 15 HKD 518.8 wargames 14yrs Dominant species Mage knight Game of thrones Republic of Rome Spartacus

Thursday 18 June 2020

Mask wearing countries death rates are 100 times lower than the worst hit countries

The top 5 worst hit covid countries right now are Belgium, UK,Spain, Italy and Sweden with deaths per million population from 500 (Sweden) to 836 (Belgium). The highest death rates in a mask wearing country is 7 (Japan) and 5 (Korea). Sweden has a social distance culture so falsely thought they would have a low death rate. So it looks like wearing a mask is 100 times better if everyone does it than just relying on social distancing. Or maybe it is the culture -in Asia the virus is taken more seriously than elsewhere. Or perhaps it is the weather. Or use of technology to track and trace contacts. Or all 4.

Wednesday 20 May 2020

About 35% of recent covid cases in HK were asymptomatic

54 out of the last 156 cases in HK were asymptomatic

Saturday 25 April 2020

It is insane to ease lockdowns until reproduction number is below one

thanks to mathmatics if reproduction number is greater than one the virus will grow exponentially killing perhaps 20% of the population and totally destroying the economy. Once you have the virus under control (zero cases and zero deaths for 20 days) remove lockdown measures. As soon as you get any new cases go back into lockdown until there are no new cases.

Friday 24 April 2020

Virtual Reality is going to be big in the next 5 years

I'm now completely convinced Virtual Reality and Augmented reality will play a huge role in our future. So companies to look out for in this area - Valve, Microsoft, Facebook, HTC, HP, Samsung,Pimax, Sony. Maybe Apple, but they seem late to the party and Google seem to have stalled. Tesla is interesting for their neuro-interface. Though the need for cars will be reduced if you can virtually travel anywhere and interact almost as easy as real life. Half life Alyx VR is the best gaming experience I have ever had.

Friday 17 April 2020

How much is one China person's life worth?

The lockdown in China has cost their economy about 1 trillion USD. Each year flu kills around 70k people in China, so one life is worth less than 14.3 million USD?

Prediction for Sweden if fit using quadratic curve-hope I am wrong

If we fit quadratic curve to world deaths for next 2 months

How much is one life worth?

I have heard in the UK they don't change an accident blackspot if the deaths per year saved are less than the cost of fixing it by 2 million GBP per person. The very soft lockdown in HK has resulted in about 250 fewer deaths from flu than normal. Let's say the economy has suffered 2 billion USD. They don't have soft lockdowns in HK because of flu because the lives of 250 people are not worth 2 billion USD, or 8 million USD per person. USA had approx 60k deaths from flu in 2019. So they don't do a 2 trillion USD lockdown for 60k people. So one person in USA is worth less than 33.33 million USD per person.

Tuesday 7 April 2020

Monday 6 April 2020

2030 predictions

2030 predictions in technology As I had a touchscreen colour internet connected smartphone 6 years before the first iphone, a 42" plasma TV about 10 years before they were common and a wifi touchscreen 8 inch tablet 8 years before the ipad, here are some of my tech predictions. Vast uptake of AI in everything. I had TiVo AI in 1999 making TV recommendations. Everything you do online will come with AI recommendations and pre-emptive suggestions - digital assistants are much smarter and actually useful most of times. AI analyses your daily routines and gives reminders without you setting them based on previous data. Like having a real butler. China and USA continue to dominate AI advances. China dominates AI facial recognition. First self driving trucks operate commercially in USA. China launches a self driving city. Road deaths reduced due to self driving. Quantum computers start becoming more reliable and greatly improve total available computing power. TPUs, ASIc, FPGA and GPUs become more prevalent. Computer graphics can now produce 2d videos almost ondistinguishable from reality. Big rise in deep fakes. This makes video and photographic evidence less useable in court cases as convincing fakes are so cheap and easy to make. Rise of fake video news. Businesses and quality of life for almost everyone improves due to cheaper and more powerful computing power. Most poor countries now able to rise out of poverty base lines due to improved world economy thanks in part to quantum computing and general advances in processors. 5G goes mainstream, replacing 4G. Self driving cars in some city centres - human driven cars banned in those areas. Surgeons and dentists use 5G to perform work using robots Most menial jobs starting to be replaced by smart robots or kiosks. Cashierless stores become more common. Cryptocurrency gets 5 times current adoption, paper currency use drops by 20% as payments mostly made by smartphones. Driving licences, public transport passes, credit cards all go mainly digital and connected to your phone. Bitcoin and Ethereum evolve and develop quantum resistance and remain hack proof, though 3rd party software and centralised exchanges remain vulnerable to human insider hacks. Almost all high end smartphones are foldable or rollable and convert into tablets. Multi Terabyte storage, 256GB Ram, 64 core cpu and dedicated raytracing GPU common in phones. 6G wireless network planned. Folding smartphones replace small tablets, and big tablets start to replace laptops. Most laptops become multi function tablets. VR makes big headways, and good systems only cost 200 USD. Playstation 6 and Xbox 5th gen consoles do 120fps with ray tracing at 8k resolution. 5G game streaming becomes common. Valve finally announce they will release a game with 3 in the title. Sony continues to dominate professional camera market by using AI and smart features. Tesla dominates electric car market. Electric cars make up 10% of all sales. Standard car screens are 18 inches with many other big screens across the whole dash and HUD, autopilot,360 view is standard Smart watches become more useful due to foldable or rollable displays that enlarge. Start of new battery technologies and greater uptake of solar. Electric cars fitted with solar roofs as efficiency now makes them feasible. Better alternative batteries to Lithium Ion start to appear in commercial use. Hopefully nuclear fusion becomes viable - solving all our energy needs - making enough energy so cheap we can completely eliminate poverty, send a colony to Mars, make air,car travel 200 times cheaper Everyone will have affordable multiroom audio systems like i had with Sonos in 2004. Highdef audio streaming and 4k video streaming is common. Increased cheap computing power and blockchain tech enable governments to become more demicratic (if they want) as election and referendum costs drastically reduced. UK partially rejoins EU due to mainly economic reasons, though migration is less of an issue in a more digital world. Number of digital nomads rises significantly. Big tech companies face government mandated split and breakup as they stifle competition once they are too big, just like the big oil companies a century before. Facebook hits 3 billion active users per month, up from 2.3 billion in 2019. Youtube not far off as well. So approx 37% of the entire world population or about 50% OF ALL ADULTS! Big increase in technology is main factor in preventing world recession despite banks and governments over printing money and/or creating it out of thin air (quantitative easing). Zombie companies propped up by fiat currency handouts will continue to fail as technologically better competitors take away their business and customers Commercially available neural interfaces become common for people with disabilities. People without disabilities also use them to improve on the speed of data operations compared with using traditional smartphones and computers AI starts to be able to make significant creativity gains in the fields of music and art and remain vastly superior to humans in almost everything else TLDR: the world is changing at its fastest rate in buman history and this will be a force feedback loop so will change even more from 2030 to 2040 than from 2020-2030 China's social credit AI system might turn into the Chinese version of Cyberdyne and decide to take control of the world - re-watch the first 3 Terminator movies :)

HK protests now moved online

Instead of protesting on the streets they are protesting in a virtual world

Songs I have written with a Bachata beat

Live bachata mini concert

Wednesday 1 April 2020

grow your own food

Probably a good idea to grow your own food (google 'indoor garden' if you don't have a garden). Exponential growth of the virus will affect food supply chains

Sadly exponential growth predictions are very bad if no vaccine or more lockdowns

Worldwide: 100k deaths by 10 april 2020 1m deaths by 28 May 2020 2m deaths by 21 jun 2020 3m deaths by 9 jul 2020 5m deaths by 3 aug 2020 10m deaths by 18 sep 2020

Friday 13 March 2020

Wednesday 26 February 2020

Word Creation Day

Pundemic - outbreak of puns during a virus outbreak https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/law-and-crime/article/3051231/coronavirus-hong-kong-police-roll-third-suspect-toilet Free-totaler Someone who only drinks alcohol when it's free Kree-totaler Someone who only drinks alcohol when engaged in suitable nerd activities such as watching Marvel Cinematic Universe material Frackglass English equivalent of the German warning - "Watch out there is broken glass on the floor"

Friday 14 February 2020

Basic hygiene advice to reduce infections to keep family safe

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IkdPFCStA38

Instead of going out, play boardgames

Check out www.boardgamegeek.com for all the best board games

Monday 10 February 2020

Looks like super spreaders can spend a month without showing symptons. Unfortunately it means quarantine period should not be 14 days - it should be 30 days.

The super spreader at the Singapore conference has shown no symptons for a whole month

A safer alternative to shaking hands

I know this might sound crazy, but if everyone on the planet gave each other a thumbs up (without touching) or gentle butt bump instead of shaking hands or a kiss on the cheek would we save hundreds of thousands of lives from flu and other viruses? Hugs would be ok so long as you don't touch faces or cough or sneeze. Of course if you are getting intimate or share a room with the person this would not make any difference as whatever they have you will get anyway.

This doctor seems to know his stuff

Sunday 9 February 2020

tweaked model. Numbers are lower.

Don't buy n95 or better masks as medical staff on frontline don't have enough

these people are risking their lives for you so don't buy or use N95 or higher grade masks unless you need it for your job. There is not enough supply at the moment.

Dont panic everone it's just a model

This is just a model. With time we get herd immunity so numbers will eventually drop off. This model predicts 1.5 million deaths per year compared to 690k for influenza, and influenza keeps repeating every year, whereas most other new viruses don't last after first year

Coronavirus model. Prediction at midnight end of Feb 9th :44631 and 939